Western Carolina

5-5 (3-3 Southern) • Week 11 • 2026

@WCU_FB on X
TSR
9.5#29
Offense
34.9#24
Defense
25.4#57
SOS
9.98#42
PCR
0.634#31
RQI
-0.30#33
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.5
 
at
 
Western Carolina-2.2
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1666364W 45-21
1@261869L 19-28
2@5342102L 10-62
312086123W 58-14
4@283142L 31-58
5141521W 44-20
6@15374L 14-17
827952L 18-41
9@5010213W 27-26
10457127W 26-10
11@467819−2.256%
12749351−16.186%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−0.30#33 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winTennessee Tech+0.65
Worst lossChattanooga−0.61

Outlook

All games

proj. 6.4–5.6
6+94%
7+48%

Southern games

proj. 4.4–3.6
4+94%
5+48%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
<1%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −0.30
  • Projected −0.36
  • Win out +0.22
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
9.5#29
SRS
-36.4#76
MASSEY
5.89#31
DOKTER
29.04#28
SAGARIN
46.76#32
RQI
-0.299#33
SOS
9.98#42

Offense

Rating
34.9#24
Points/G
29.2#39
Yards/G
394.3#34
Rush/G
143.7#76
Pass/G
250.6#23
3rd Down
38.7%#62
4th Down
52.9%#54
Turnovers/G
0.90#18
Red Zone
92.1%#7

Defense

Rating
25.4#57
Points/G
29.7#82
Yards/G
419.1#100
Rush/G
197.1#105
Pass/G
222.0#67
3rd Down
39.7%#62
4th Down
40.0%#25
Turnovers/G
1.80#21
Red Zone
85.4%#89