Valparaiso

4-5 (3-3 Pioneer) • Week 11 • 2026

@ValpoUFootball on X
TSR
-14.0#112
Offense
17.2#114
Defense
31.3#96
SOS
11.66#122
PCR
0.291#111
RQI
-3.93#109
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 1.7
 
at
 
Valparaiso-18.9
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1–––W 59-13
2@9258109L 18-27
3@563492L 16-39
4565360L 28-33
5@127111127W 37-3
611781119W 21-13
7@10040116L 13-38
812086123W 24-7
10@776487L 20-31
11@128117128−18.989%
127441104+7.430%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.93#109 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winDrake+0.03
Worst lossSan Diego−0.87

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.2–5.8
5+93%
6+27%

Pioneer games

proj. 4.2–3.8
4+93%
5+27%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
<1%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −3.93
  • Projected −4.61
  • Win out −3.80
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
-14.0#112
SRS
-47.6#116
MASSEY
4.58#113
DOKTER
7.12#104
SAGARIN
29.69#110
RQI
-3.932#109
SOS
11.66#122

Offense

Rating
17.2#114
Points/G
26.2#52
Yards/G
300.6#107
Rush/G
96.8#114
Pass/G
203.8#68
3rd Down
34.4%#92
4th Down
52.6%#58
Turnovers/G
1.11#35
Red Zone
77.8%#78

Defense

Rating
31.3#96
Points/G
22.7#33
Yards/G
363.0#53
Rush/G
182.2#93
Pass/G
180.8#22
3rd Down
32.0%#13
4th Down
56.5%#81
Turnovers/G
1.89#16
Red Zone
78.6%#43