UT Rio Grande Valley

5-5 (3-4 Southland) • Week 11 • 2026

TSR
6.9#35
Offense
28.1#47
Defense
21.2#36
SOS
10.23#53
PCR
0.550#48
RQI
-1.27#50
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 7.2
 
at
 
Stephen F. Austin-18.5
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1–––W 44-0
1@7463108L 16-45
2@968195L 28-31
3547436W 27-10
5@799055L 17-20
6393947W 13-3
7@12940L 16-41
8@485145W 30-27
981317L 23-52
10@12392126W 52-7
114107+18.511%
12@606847−2.958%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−1.27#50 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winCentral Arkansas+0.38
Worst lossNicholls−0.87

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.7–6.3
6+63%
7+6%

Southland games

proj. 3.7–5.3
4+63%
5+6%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
<1%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −1.27
  • Projected −1.43
  • Win out −0.12
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
6.9#35
SRS
-27.8#39
MASSEY
5.73#41
DOKTER
29.63#24
SAGARIN
43.07#46
RQI
-1.267#50
SOS
10.23#53

Offense

Rating
28.1#47
Points/G
26.6#50
Yards/G
393.6#36
Rush/G
155.3#57
Pass/G
238.3#33
3rd Down
40.6%#50
4th Down
60.0%#35
Turnovers/G
1.80#101
Red Zone
80.5%#61

Defense

Rating
21.2#36
Points/G
23.6#40
Yards/G
337.0#25
Rush/G
142.4#44
Pass/G
194.6#32
3rd Down
43.4%#89
4th Down
40.0%#26
Turnovers/G
1.90#12
Red Zone
72.2%#16