UC Davis

6-4 (4-3 Big Sky) • Week 11 • 2026

@UCDfootball on X
TSR
6.2#38
Offense
33.7#29
Defense
27.4#73
SOS
10.26#54
PCR
0.623#33
RQI
-0.34#34
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.3
 
at
 
Idaho-13.5
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1@8035112W 31-24
1@10040116W 49-17
2@312449L 10-56
3128117128W 45-7
410353L 22-62
55520108W 49-38
7@301676L 17-38
8656949W 33-6
9@221274L 14-38
108661102W 24-17
11@18872+13.518%
12775394−13.081%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−0.34#34 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winPortland State+0.20
Worst lossSouthern Utah−0.46

Outlook

All games

proj. 7.0–5.0
6+
7+85%
8+15%

Big Sky games

proj. 5.0–4.0
4+
5+85%
6+15%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
13%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −0.34
  • Projected −0.51
  • Win out +0.50
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
6.2#38
SRS
-32.0#55
MASSEY
6.08#23
DOKTER
17.68#67
SAGARIN
45.53#37
RQI
-0.343#34
SOS
10.26#54

Offense

Rating
33.7#29
Points/G
29.4#38
Yards/G
418.6#22
Rush/G
157.7#52
Pass/G
260.9#19
3rd Down
39.4%#57
4th Down
51.7%#63
Turnovers/G
1.30#52
Red Zone
76.3%#84

Defense

Rating
27.4#73
Points/G
30.3#86
Yards/G
428.5#108
Rush/G
165.2#71
Pass/G
263.3#113
3rd Down
41.8%#80
4th Down
47.6%#50
Turnovers/G
1.40#62
Red Zone
78.6%#39