Northern Colorado

3-7 (2-5 Big Sky) • Week 11 • 2026

@UNCBearsFB on X
TSR
0.4#65
Offense
24.6#69
Defense
24.1#49
SOS
10.11#46
PCR
0.444#82
RQI
-2.47#82
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 5.2
 
at
 
Montana State-29.2
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1221274L 29-30
15513L 23-38
2@10011649L 13-21
3–––W 23-17
48661102W 37-13
5@10353L 14-36
6@5520108L 22-31
7775394W 28-18
8@382872L 6-33
10@301676L 24-31
11226+29.24%
12@91130+23.77%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−2.47#82 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winCal Poly+0.12
Worst lossEastern Washington−0.67

Outlook

Big Sky games

proj. 2.1–6.9
4+

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
<1%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −2.47
  • Projected −2.66
  • Win out −0.77
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
0.4#65
SRS
-27.7#37
MASSEY
5.59#53
DOKTER
16.25#71
SAGARIN
40.58#59
RQI
-2.468#82
SOS
10.11#46

Offense

Rating
24.6#69
Points/G
21.9#85
Yards/G
382.3#48
Rush/G
176.6#30
Pass/G
205.7#65
3rd Down
40.9%#47
4th Down
40.9%#102
Turnovers/G
1.20#45
Red Zone
75.8%#88

Defense

Rating
24.1#49
Points/G
26.8#64
Yards/G
391.6#78
Rush/G
146.5#50
Pass/G
245.1#101
3rd Down
39.0%#54
4th Down
70.0%#110
Turnovers/G
1.00#102
Red Zone
80.5%#49