Northern Arizona

8-2 (7-1 Big Sky) • Week 11 • 2026

@NAU_Football on X
TSR
21.1#9
Offense
41.5#11
Defense
20.3#30
SOS
9.28#14
PCR
0.937#4
RQI
3.17#5
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.1
 
at
 
Northern Arizona-10.9
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
15520108W 34-27
1@252637L 7-35
212940W 38-28
3@8661102W 35-23
4@226L 14-28
5@212829W 38-31
610353W 49-44
78035112W 38-25
9@301676W 34-27
10@775394W 38-10
11221274−10.977%
12656949−23.793%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

+3.17#5 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winMontana+0.69
Worst lossMontana State−0.06

Outlook

All games

proj. 9.7–2.3
8+
9+99%
10+72%

Big Sky games

proj. 8.7–1.3
7+
8+99%
9+72%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
>99%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now +3.17
  • Projected +3.54
  • Win out +3.83
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
21.1#9
SRS
-25.6#32
MASSEY
6.77#7
DOKTER
34.01#17
SAGARIN
56.44#9
RQI
3.173#5
SOS
9.28#14

Offense

Rating
41.5#11
Points/G
32.5#30
Yards/G
406.0#25
Rush/G
167.7#46
Pass/G
238.3#32
3rd Down
38.0%#67
4th Down
50.0%#64
Turnovers/G
0.90#15
Red Zone
81.0%#57

Defense

Rating
20.3#30
Points/G
27.8#70
Yards/G
419.1#99
Rush/G
160.3#67
Pass/G
258.8#110
3rd Down
45.4%#110
4th Down
55.6%#75
Turnovers/G
2.10#3
Red Zone
81.0%#60