North Dakota

7-4 (4-3 MVFC) • Week 11 • 2026

@UNDFootball on X
TSR
27.1#6
Offense
44.4#6
Defense
17.3#16
SOS
8.49#2
PCR
0.852#9
RQI
1.92#10
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Next game

Sat, Nov 21GQI 9.0
 
at
 
North Dakota-14.7
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
110412247W 42-21
17441104W 62-26
2@8035112W 47-23
3@283515L 7-34
4@563492W 42-35
59258109W 55-28
6@192227L 17-24
7171W 21-10
8@5513L 23-26
9@3118L 28-31
10111910W 49-21
12203215−14.784%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

+1.92#10 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winSouth Dakota State+0.91
Worst lossNorthern Iowa−0.30

Outlook

All games

proj. 7.8–4.2
7+
8+84%

MVFC games

proj. 4.8–3.2
4+
5+84%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
>99%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now +1.92
  • Projected +2.29
  • Win out +2.46
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
27.1#6
SRS
-11.3#4
MASSEY
6.79#6
DOKTER
43.92#8
SAGARIN
61.86#4
RQI
1.916#10
SOS
8.49#2

Offense

Rating
44.4#6
Points/G
35.7#17
Yards/G
423.5#19
Rush/G
188.5#23
Pass/G
235.0#37
3rd Down
40.0%#55
4th Down
69.2%#17
Turnovers/G
1.73#95
Red Zone
84.9%#40

Defense

Rating
17.3#16
Points/G
25.4#54
Yards/G
317.2#17
Rush/G
116.8#21
Pass/G
200.4#39
3rd Down
37.0%#35
4th Down
52.6%#63
Turnovers/G
1.09#99
Red Zone
87.5%#102