North Carolina Central

5-5 (3-0 MEAC) • Week 11 • 2026

@NCCU_Football on X
TSR
-3.1#72
Offense
23.8#73
Defense
26.9#70
SOS
10.99#94
PCR
0.413#86
RQI
-2.70#87
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 6.8
 
at
 
South Carolina State-15.1
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1@11166116L 30-42
1–––W 27-6
29010966W 30-22
3@447224L 20-44
4@929562L 9-42
5261869L 31-38
610897105L 14-17
8@879581W 31-12
910010187W 34-0
10@9170102W 29-28
11@322557+15.116%
121028598−9.675%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−2.70#87 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winDelaware State+0.15
Worst lossWilliam & Mary−0.95

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.9–6.1
6+79%
7+12%

MEAC games

proj. 3.9–1.1
3+
4+79%
5+12%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
<1%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −2.70
  • Projected −3.21
  • Win out −2.11
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
-3.1#72
SRS
-43.4#103
MASSEY
5.21#79
DOKTER
14.56#77
SAGARIN
39.32#70
RQI
-2.700#87
SOS
10.99#94

Offense

Rating
23.8#73
Points/G
25.5#58
Yards/G
351.6#64
Rush/G
181.2#29
Pass/G
170.4#101
3rd Down
38.5%#64
4th Down
30.8%#115
Turnovers/G
1.40#65
Red Zone
87.5%#29

Defense

Rating
26.9#70
Points/G
24.5#46
Yards/G
337.3#26
Rush/G
137.9#40
Pass/G
199.4#38
3rd Down
39.2%#57
4th Down
40.0%#28
Turnovers/G
2.10#4
Red Zone
71.9%#13