Montana State

9-1 (6-1 Big Sky) • Week 11 • 2026

@MSUBobcatsFB on X
TSR
32.6#2
Offense
46.1#2
Defense
13.6#6
SOS
10.29#56
PCR
0.977#2
RQI
3.53#1
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 5.2
 
at
 
Montana State-29.2
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1@8661102W 54-0
1565360W 51-24
2@10211359W 20-7
3392193W 35-30
491130W 28-14
5@18872L 34-35
7@5520108W 56-20
8221274W 38-33
9775394W 61-7
10@212829W 28-26
11@656949−29.296%
1210353−14.684%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

+3.53#1 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winNevada+0.88
Worst lossIdaho−0.27

Outlook

All games

proj. 10.8–1.2
9+
10+99%
11+81%

Big Sky games

proj. 7.8–1.2
6+
7+99%
8+81%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
>99%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now +3.53
  • Projected +4.32
  • Win out +4.51
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
32.6#2
SRS
-14.0#9
MASSEY
7.24#1
DOKTER
45.96#4
SAGARIN
66.12#2
RQI
3.529#1
SOS
10.29#56

Offense

Rating
46.1#2
Points/G
40.5#4
Yards/G
442.1#12
Rush/G
206.0#13
Pass/G
236.1#36
3rd Down
49.6%#5
4th Down
75.0%#10
Turnovers/G
0.70#7
Red Zone
88.4%#20

Defense

Rating
13.6#6
Points/G
19.6#14
Yards/G
349.3#38
Rush/G
120.6#23
Pass/G
228.7#76
3rd Down
38.3%#50
4th Down
39.1%#21
Turnovers/G
1.90#8
Red Zone
75.9%#26