Illinois State

7-3 (3-3 MVFC) • Week 11 • 2026

@RedbirdFB on X

TSR

20.9#11

Offense

37.1#19

Defense

16.2#10

SOS

9.74#23

PCR

0.830#11

RQI

1.89#11

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.4

18%

82%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		–	–	–	W 76-0		2.4	+0.01
1	@	23	16	65	W 41-10		8.8	+0.59
2	@	134	132	136	W 28-24		9.0	+0.63
3		62	60	60	W 49-13		6.4	+0.18
4	@	19	22	27	L 21-28		9.4	−0.30
5		1	7	1	L 14-31		9.3	−0.09
7	@	20	32	15	W 35-14		9.3	+0.70
8		56	34	92	W 17-10		6.7	+0.20
9		92	58	109	W 35-14		3.7	+0.07
10	@	6	6	16	L 21-49		9.6	−0.10
11	@	3	1	18	+13.618%	18%	9.4	+0.93−0.07
12		5	5	13	+3.640%	40%	9.6	+0.82−0.18

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

+1.89#11 RQIwins above the #24 team

Best win

Southern Illinois+0.70

Worst loss

Northern Iowa−0.30

Outlook

All games

proj. 7.6–4.4

8+51%

9+7%

MVFC games

proj. 3.6–4.4

4+51%

5+7%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace

Top 24

>99%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now +1.89
Projected +2.22
Win out +3.64
Top 24 line +0.46
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

20.9#11

SRS

-11.5#6

MASSEY

6.61#10

DOKTER

39.42#9

SAGARIN

54.29#15

RQI

1.888#11

SOS

9.74#23

Offense

Rating

37.1#19

Points/G

33.7#25

Yards/G

392.5#39

Rush/G

168.1#45

Pass/G

224.4#46

3rd Down

50.4%#2

4th Down

63.2%#26

Turnovers/G

1.40#59

Red Zone

84.4%#41

Defense

Rating

16.2#10

Points/G

19.3#13

Yards/G

310.6#16

Rush/G

107.5#10

Pass/G

203.1#44

3rd Down

32.8%#15

4th Down

47.4%#47

Turnovers/G

1.50#51

Red Zone

62.5%#2