East Tennessee State

6-4 (4-2 Southern) • Week 11 • 2026

@ETSUFootball on X
TSR
10.0#28
Offense
33.0#31
Defense
23.1#42
SOS
10.43#61
PCR
0.603#36
RQI
-0.66#38
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.5
 
at
 
East Tennessee State-2.6
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1261869L 37-49
1–––W 48-14
2@424345L 3-35
3107106100W 35-27
4292457W 58-31
527952W 14-3
6@749351W 34-16
8@125127118W 38-0
9141521L 17-24
10467819L 35-37
11@457127−2.657%
12@15374+10.823%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−0.66#38 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winChattanooga+0.39
Worst lossSamford−0.75

Outlook

All games

proj. 6.8–5.2
6+
7+67%
8+13%

Southern games

proj. 4.8–3.2
4+
5+67%
6+13%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
9%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −0.66
  • Projected −0.70
  • Win out +0.49
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
10.0#28
SRS
-27.6#36
MASSEY
5.85#33
DOKTER
29.47#25
SAGARIN
48.00#26
RQI
-0.656#38
SOS
10.43#61

Offense

Rating
33.0#31
Points/G
31.9#32
Yards/G
401.2#28
Rush/G
186.2#25
Pass/G
215.0#56
3rd Down
46.4%#12
4th Down
68.2%#21
Turnovers/G
0.90#17
Red Zone
87.2%#30

Defense

Rating
23.1#42
Points/G
23.6#39
Yards/G
327.7#19
Rush/G
136.2#38
Pass/G
191.5#27
3rd Down
38.0%#48
4th Down
61.1%#91
Turnovers/G
0.40#124
Red Zone
90.6%#112