Dayton

8-1 (5-1 Pioneer) • Week 11 • 2026

@DaytonFootball on X
TSR
-3.8#78
Offense
25.7#65
Defense
29.4#87
SOS
11.69#124
PCR
0.608#35
RQI
-0.19#30
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 1.8
 
at
 
Dayton-30.0
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1–––W 43-20
2–––W 30-7
3@666364W 17-14
5@11781119L 22-30
6127111127W 56-28
7@565360W 19-9
810040116W 37-32
9@128117128W 44-34
1011211496W 31-20
11126123124−30.097%
12@12086123−14.083%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−0.19#30 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winButler+0.33
Worst lossDrake−0.95

Outlook

All games

proj. 9.8–1.2
8+
9+99%
10+80%

Pioneer games

proj. 6.8–1.2
5+
6+99%
7+80%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
<1%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −0.19
  • Projected −0.35
  • Win out −0.14
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
-3.8#78
SRS
-36.6#78
MASSEY
5.29#73
DOKTER
13.93#79
SAGARIN
37.34#76
RQI
-0.187#30
SOS
11.69#124

Offense

Rating
25.7#65
Points/G
33.2#27
Yards/G
383.2#47
Rush/G
155.2#58
Pass/G
228.0#41
3rd Down
45.5%#16
4th Down
50.0%#71
Turnovers/G
1.44#76
Red Zone
77.8%#77

Defense

Rating
29.4#87
Points/G
21.6#23
Yards/G
372.4#62
Rush/G
102.8#7
Pass/G
269.7#116
3rd Down
41.3%#75
4th Down
41.2%#31
Turnovers/G
1.89#15
Red Zone
88.5%#106