Central Arkansas

3-7 (1-4 UAC) • Week 11 • 2026

@UCA_Football on X
TSR
3.8#48
Offense
27.5#52
Defense
23.7#45
SOS
9.83#30
PCR
0.448#81
RQI
-2.52#83
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.2
 
at
 
Central Arkansas-0.7
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1@584671W 36-24
1426431L 14-42
2–––W 59-20
3@314523L 9-27
4@473875L 7-34
6@162711L 14-20
7@7433L 35-49
8354736L 27-30
9255112L 9-14
10107106100W 35-14
11@666364−0.752%
12131420+12.919%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−2.52#83 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winUT Martin+0.32
Worst lossWest Florida−0.72

Outlook

UAC games

proj. 1.7–5.3
3+10%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
<1%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −2.52
  • Projected −2.86
  • Win out −1.57
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
3.8#48
SRS
-31.4#54
MASSEY
5.61#51
DOKTER
24.45#39
SAGARIN
41.71#53
RQI
-2.516#83
SOS
9.83#30

Offense

Rating
27.5#52
Points/G
24.5#66
Yards/G
393.2#38
Rush/G
212.7#9
Pass/G
180.5#89
3rd Down
43.3%#28
4th Down
46.2%#83
Turnovers/G
1.40#63
Red Zone
66.7%#113

Defense

Rating
23.7#45
Points/G
27.4#68
Yards/G
353.8#44
Rush/G
143.8#46
Pass/G
210.0#54
3rd Down
43.6%#93
4th Down
64.3%#98
Turnovers/G
1.50#53
Red Zone
73.7%#20