Cal Poly

4-7 (3-5 Big Sky) • Week 11 • 2026

@CalPolyFootball on X
TSR
-3.8#77
Offense
27.3#54
Defense
31.0#94
SOS
9.91#38
PCR
0.475#70
RQI
-2.01#71
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Next game

Sat, Nov 21GQI 7.0
 
at
 
UC Davis-13.0
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
118872W 38-34
1–––W 24-17
2@11112159L 20-30
310040116L 35-38
4@5520108W 31-27
5221274L 34-42
6@212829W 25-24
7@656949L 18-28
88661102L 26-43
9@226L 7-61
1091130L 10-38
12@382872+13.019%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−2.01#71 RQIwins above the #24 team
Best winIdaho State+0.65
Worst lossSan Diego−0.93

Outlook

Big Sky games

proj. 3.2–5.8
4+19%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #24 team's pace
Top 24
<1%line +0.46

Chance to finish in the top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −2.01
  • Projected −2.37
  • Win out −1.56
  • Top 24 line +0.46
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
-3.8#77
SRS
-32.5#60
MASSEY
5.58#55
DOKTER
10.08#91
SAGARIN
36.26#84
RQI
-2.010#71
SOS
9.91#38

Offense

Rating
27.3#54
Points/G
24.4#67
Yards/G
375.7#52
Rush/G
149.1#67
Pass/G
226.6#42
3rd Down
37.8%#69
4th Down
44.8%#91
Turnovers/G
1.91#111
Red Zone
76.9%#83

Defense

Rating
31.0#94
Points/G
34.7#103
Yards/G
419.9#102
Rush/G
190.0#98
Pass/G
229.9#78
3rd Down
47.1%#117
4th Down
73.7%#120
Turnovers/G
1.00#103
Red Zone
93.6%#120