at
29.0–12.8
86%
TSR
-4.5#85
Offense
19.8#99
Defense
24.3#46
SOS
11.45#107
PCR
0.560#69
RQI
-2.15#66
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 37 | 64 | 2 | L 12-13 | |
| 2 | 33 | 30 | 54 | W 49-14 | ||
| 3 | @ | 122 | 111 | 131 | W 28-21 | |
| 4 | 36 | 22 | 63 | L 7-32 | ||
| 5 | @ | 119 | 126 | 81 | W 20-17 | |
| 6 | 133 | 136 | 120 | W 38-7 | ||
| 7 | @ | 114 | 120 | 71 | W 21-14 | |
| 8 | @ | 83 | 85 | 82 | L 38-45 | |
| 9 | 129 | 130 | 110 | W 23-10 | ||
| 11 | @ | 135 | 135 | 128 | −16.286% | |
| 12 | 128 | 129 | 101 | −16.386% | ||
| 13 | 104 | 107 | 86 | −8.973% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−2.15#66 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Central Michigan+0.05
Worst loss
Toledo−0.89
Outlook
All games
proj. 8.5–3.56+
7+99%
8+92%
9+54%
Mid-American games
proj. 6.5–1.54+
5+99%
6+92%
7+54%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −2.15
- Projected −2.64
- Win out −2.09
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-4.5#85
KFord
—
SP+
-0.9#76
FPI
-3.7#85
FEI
-0.32#86
MASSEY
7.21#90
DOKTER
41.79#83
SAGARIN
63.72#85
RQI
-2.147#66
SOS
11.45#107
Offense
Rating
19.80#99
Success
-0.02#103
PPA
-0.02#95
Rush
-0.01#86
Pass
-0.03#85
PPO
0.78#29
Drive Q
4.40#74
Defense
Rating
24.30#46
Success
0.00#90
PPA
-0.04#60
Rush
0.07#107
Pass
-0.05#66
PPO
-0.37#60
Drive Q
6.50#123