Western Kentucky

3-6 (2-3 Conference USA) • Week 11 • 2026

@WKUFootball on X

TSR

-15.6#121

Offense

15.3#115

Defense

30.9#124

SOS

10.67#39

PCR

0.336#111

RQI

-4.32#110

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 4.2

26.8–18.4

72%

28%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1	@	102	113	59	L 14-49		4.8	−0.94
2	@	1	3	3	L 20-70		3.7	−0.19
3	@	8	14	1	L 0-38		3.2	−0.31
4		116	74	121	W 52-7		1.2	+0.00
5	@	123	124	113	L 13-34		5.1	−0.97
6		125	122	115	W 34-13		5.1	+0.02
7	@	131	134	117	W 16-3		3.5	+0.02
9		107	98	125	L 21-35		4.9	−0.97
10	@	123	118	126	L 42-51		5.1	−0.97
11		83	96	45	+8.428%	28%	4.2	+0.06−0.94
12	@	51	73	24	+23.07%	7%	3.4	+0.24−0.76
13		116	108	107	−0.251%	51%	5.1	+0.02−0.98

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−4.32#110 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Sam Houston+0.02

Worst loss

Delaware−0.97

Outlook

All games

proj. 3.9–8.1

6+1%

Conference USA games

proj. 2.9–5.1

4+18%

5+1%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −4.32
Projected −6.14
Win out −4.00
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

-15.6#121

KFord

—

SP+

-13.7#120

FPI

-14.9#120

FEI

-0.85#122

MASSEY

6.58#121

DOKTER

28.35#123

SAGARIN

52.19#122

RQI

-4.318#110

SOS

10.67#39

Offense

Rating

15.30#115

Success

0.00#74

PPA

0.02#71

Rush

0.16#14

Pass

-0.08#102

PPO

0.18#82

Drive Q

-4.60#116

Defense

Rating

30.90#124

Success

0.05#127

PPA

0.13#127

Rush

0.09#115

Pass

0.11#115

PPO

0.59#127

Drive Q

5.10#118