Washington

5-4 (2-4 Big Ten) • Week 11 • 2026

@UW_Football on X

TSR

8.5#40

Offense

30.9#46

Defense

22.4#28

SOS

10.89#56

PCR

0.612#59

RQI

-2.01#58

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.2

27.4–24.0

60%

40%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		102	105	89	W 24-10		4.6	+0.03
2		87	100	39	W 16-14		6.3	+0.05
3		55	20	108	W 48-16		1.6	+0.00
4		50	68	33	L 24-27		8.7	−0.86
5	@	17	17	35	L 21-25		9.0	−0.48
6		15	29	4	L 24-41		9.0	−0.63
7	@	67	55	89	W 38-26		8.1	+0.19
9	@	28	35	15	W 17-10		9.1	+0.44
10		33	36	26	L 25-28		9.2	−0.74
11	@	64	74	39	−3.460%	60%	8.2	+0.20−0.80
12		8	14	1	+10.324%	24%	8.7	+0.53−0.47
13	@	9	9	30	+14.017%	17%	8.8	+0.63−0.37

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−2.01#58 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Nebraska+0.44

Worst loss

Minnesota−0.86

Outlook

All games

proj. 6.0–6.0

6+75%

7+24%

8+2%

Big Ten games

proj. 3.0–6.0

4+24%

5+2%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −2.01
Projected −2.64
Win out −0.65
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

8.5#40

KFord

—

SP+

8.9#40

FPI

6.6#47

FEI

0.41#37

MASSEY

8.09#40

DOKTER

56.60#39

SAGARIN

78.35#37

RQI

-2.009#58

SOS

10.89#56

Offense

Rating

30.90#46

Success

0.02#58

PPA

0.04#60

Rush

-0.07#110

Pass

0.18#27

PPO

0.92#19

Drive Q

5.30#67

Defense

Rating

22.40#28

Success

-0.03#36

PPA

-0.05#55

Rush

0.01#86

Pass

-0.12#36

PPO

-0.51#41

Drive Q

-7.40#52