Wake Forest

8-1 (5-1 ACC) • Week 11 • 2026

@WakeFB on X
TSR
16.9#13
Offense
39.0#16
Defense
22.1#24
SOS
10.95#62
PCR
0.877#10
RQI
0.68#10
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.3
 
at
31.8–29.4
 
Wake Forest-2.3
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1135135128W 38-16
2@675589W 38-36
34128L 20-33
4@201273W 30-27
59892122W 57-3
6@727093W 38-14
7@949199W 41-7
9576451W 51-7
109710584W 77-0
11@312449−2.456%
12@8880104−19.089%
13344119−9.073%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

+0.68#10 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winLouisville+0.49
Worst lossMiami−0.40

Outlook

All games

proj. 10.2–1.8
8+
9+99%
10+83%
11+37%

ACC games

proj. 7.2–1.8
5+
6+99%
7+83%
8+37%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
39%line +0.67
Top 24
84%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now +0.67
  • Projected +0.63
  • Win out +1.44
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
16.9#13
KFord
—
SP+
20.0#12
FPI
18.0#13
FEI
1.00#10
MASSEY
8.49#19
DOKTER
62.80#22
SAGARIN
86.49#15
RQI
0.675#10
SOS
10.95#62

Offense

Rating
39.00#16
Success
0.10#5
PPA
0.29#2
Rush
0.25#1
Pass
0.33#5
PPO
1.14#7
Drive Q
20.00#7

Defense

Rating
22.10#24
Success
-0.04#31
PPA
-0.18#12
Rush
-0.21#8
Pass
-0.22#18
PPO
-1.50#2
Drive Q
-10.70#38