USC

7-2 (4-2 Big Ten) • Week 11 • 2026

@uscfb on X
TSR
15.2#17
Offense
38.4#17
Defense
23.2#34
SOS
10.54#32
PCR
0.843#18
RQI
0.32#17
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.5
 
at
25.0–34.4
 
Indiana-9.5
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
111112159W 42-26
1717848W 39-0
2838483W 49-30
3@8979112W 42-35
49930L 27-41
5404628W 25-21
6@333626W 31-23
8@35486L 7-24
9559W 30-18
11@8141+9.426%
127566105−19.990%
13@14237+4.238%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

+0.32#17 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winOhio State+0.58
Worst lossWisconsin−0.61

Outlook

All games

proj. 8.5–3.5
7+
8+96%
9+50%
10+9%

Big Ten games

proj. 5.5–3.5
4+
5+96%
6+50%
7+9%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
26%line +0.67
Top 24
92%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now +0.32
  • Projected +0.18
  • Win out +1.64
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
15.2#17
KFord
—
SP+
15.8#18
FPI
14.8#16
FEI
0.86#13
MASSEY
8.57#15
DOKTER
63.52#18
SAGARIN
83.68#17
RQI
0.322#17
SOS
10.54#32

Offense

Rating
38.40#17
Success
0.08#13
PPA
0.18#11
Rush
0.03#65
Pass
0.26#14
PPO
0.79#27
Drive Q
17.80#12

Defense

Rating
23.20#34
Success
-0.01#69
PPA
-0.06#51
Rush
-0.00#79
Pass
-0.11#38
PPO
0.08#96
Drive Q
-12.60#29