at
17.2–33.0
86%
TSR
-5.4#90
Offense
22.8#86
Defense
28.1#95
SOS
11.52#119
PCR
0.455#88
RQI
-3.29#90
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55 | 53 | 75 | L 21-27 | ||
| 1 | @ | 108 | 119 | 59 | W 21-6 | |
| 2 | @ | 58 | 30 | 127 | L 6-44 | |
| 4 | @ | 135 | 135 | 128 | W 38-10 | |
| 5 | 94 | 91 | 99 | W 39-31 | ||
| 6 | 62 | 82 | 15 | W 13-7 | ||
| 7 | @ | 80 | 89 | 54 | L 31-41 | |
| 9 | 134 | 132 | 136 | W 31-24 | ||
| 10 | 100 | 116 | 49 | L 35-41 | ||
| 11 | @ | 45 | 59 | 13 | +15.814% | |
| 12 | @ | 111 | 121 | 59 | −3.459% | |
| 13 | 102 | 113 | 59 | −7.770% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−3.29#90 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
North Dakota State+0.11
Worst loss
Wyoming−0.97
Outlook
All games
proj. 6.4–5.66+90%
7+49%
8+6%
Mountain West games
proj. 4.4–3.64+90%
5+49%
6+6%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −3.28
- Projected −4.45
- Win out −2.90
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-5.4#90
KFord
—
SP+
-3.7#89
FPI
-3.2#79
FEI
-0.41#94
MASSEY
7.23#87
DOKTER
41.14#86
SAGARIN
61.23#94
RQI
-3.285#90
SOS
11.52#119
Offense
Rating
22.80#86
Success
-0.03#112
PPA
0.01#79
Rush
0.01#75
Pass
0.08#54
PPO
-0.28#115
Drive Q
0.10#98
Defense
Rating
28.10#95
Success
0.03#119
PPA
0.05#102
Rush
0.08#111
Pass
-0.02#77
PPO
-0.29#68
Drive Q
-0.30#93