at
14.6–30.2
85%
TSR
-4.2#84
Offense
23.0#85
Defense
27.2#82
SOS
11.67#136
PCR
0.608#60
RQI
-1.61#51
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 64 | 74 | 39 | L 20-30 | |
| 2 | 39 | 21 | 93 | W 63-10 | ||
| 3 | 109 | 104 | 110 | W 49-48 | ||
| 4 | 97 | 93 | 117 | W 41-16 | ||
| 5 | @ | 130 | 127 | 132 | W 39-24 | |
| 6 | 119 | 126 | 81 | L 8-23 | ||
| 7 | @ | 128 | 129 | 101 | W 34-14 | |
| 8 | 85 | 99 | 45 | W 45-38 | ||
| 10 | @ | 138 | 138 | 119 | W 20-17 | |
| 11 | 126 | 128 | 95 | −15.685% | ||
| 12 | 129 | 130 | 110 | −17.888% | ||
| 13 | @ | 95 | 101 | 57 | −0.050% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−1.61#51 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Western Michigan+0.06
Worst loss
Buffalo−0.98
Outlook
All games
proj. 9.2–2.87+
8+99%
9+87%
10+37%
Mid-American games
proj. 6.2–1.84+
5+99%
6+87%
7+37%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −1.61
- Projected −2.27
- Win out −1.50
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-4.2#84
KFord
—
SP+
2.7#61
FPI
-4.2#86
FEI
-0.26#81
MASSEY
7.30#80
DOKTER
40.83#88
SAGARIN
62.12#91
RQI
-1.610#51
SOS
11.67#136
Offense
Rating
23.00#85
Success
-0.00#80
PPA
0.01#80
Rush
0.02#71
Pass
-0.11#106
PPO
0.21#81
Drive Q
15.30#20
Defense
Rating
27.20#82
Success
-0.06#20
PPA
-0.10#34
Rush
-0.17#16
Pass
-0.07#60
PPO
-0.30#67
Drive Q
-8.30#50