TCU

4-5 (2-4 Big 12) • Week 11 • 2026

@TCUFootball on X

TSR

7.7#43

Offense

28.2#60

Defense

20.6#12

SOS

10.86#47

PCR

0.518#74

RQI

-3.04#79

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.3

21.8–30.2

28%

72%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1	N	42	43	45	L 10-15		9.2	−0.75
2		94	33	122	W 63-7		1.4	+0.00
3		106	106	100	W 31-7		4.4	+0.03
4	@	51	50	66	L 13-21		8.7	−0.76
5		19	24	19	L 10-17		8.9	−0.66
7	@	32	37	22	W 17-6		9.1	+0.41
8		58	31	123	L 20-24		8.5	−0.88
9		54	52	66	W 22-16		8.6	+0.13
10	@	25	26	37	L 28-29		9.0	−0.55
11		62	58	71	−8.472%	72%	8.3	+0.11−0.89
12		9	11	21	+8.827%	27%	8.7	+0.47−0.53
13	@	16	13	47	+10.623%	23%	8.9	+0.52−0.48

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.04#79 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Baylor+0.41

Worst loss

West Virginia−0.88

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.2–6.8

6+34%

7+5%

Big 12 games

proj. 3.2–5.8

4+34%

5+5%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −3.04
Projected −3.71
Win out −1.93
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

7.7#43

KFord

—

SP+

7.9#44

FPI

7.6#44

FEI

0.31#44

MASSEY

7.89#50

DOKTER

56.15#41

SAGARIN

76.61#43

RQI

-3.036#79

SOS

10.86#47

Offense

Rating

28.20#60

Success

0.01#67

PPA

0.02#74

Rush

0.03#69

Pass

-0.03#87

PPO

-0.12#105

Drive Q

15.30#19

Defense

Rating

20.60#12

Success

-0.09#5

PPA

-0.16#16

Rush

-0.18#13

Pass

-0.18#24

PPO

-1.22#7

Drive Q

-23.00#3