Syracuse

4-5 (2-5 ACC) • Week 11 • 2026

@CuseFootball on X
TSR
0.9#69
Offense
27.3#69
Defense
26.4#70
SOS
10.97#64
PCR
0.479#84
RQI
-3.24#86
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.1
 
at
26.6–27.8
 
NC State-1.2
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1898390W 66-3
2949199L 18-21
3@414537L 13-27
5@9386103W 42-41
6@576451L 25-28
7201273L 26-34
8@424345W 31-30
9312449W 30-27
10465728L 13-18
11@727093+1.247%
12@818378−1.654%
132410+21.78%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.24#86 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winNorth Carolina+0.32
Worst lossCalifornia−0.96

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.1–6.9
6+29%
7+2%

ACC games

proj. 3.0–6.0
4+25%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −3.24
  • Projected −4.25
  • Win out −2.34
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
0.9#69
KFord
—
SP+
-2.7#85
FPI
2.2#60
FEI
-0.10#74
MASSEY
7.53#70
DOKTER
46.58#70
SAGARIN
71.71#60
RQI
-3.242#86
SOS
10.97#64

Offense

Rating
27.30#69
Success
0.02#63
PPA
0.05#54
Rush
0.00#81
Pass
0.10#44
PPO
0.10#86
Drive Q
4.60#72

Defense

Rating
26.40#70
Success
-0.03#44
PPA
0.01#84
Rush
0.02#87
Pass
-0.04#70
PPO
-0.31#66
Drive Q
-5.10#70