Southern Miss

3-6 (2-3 Sun Belt) • Week 11 • 2026

@SouthernMissFB on X

TSR

-17.1#127

Offense

15.4#114

Defense

32.5#135

SOS

11.49#111

PCR

0.245#126

RQI

-5.25#124

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 3.3

15.4–35.8

91%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		73	22	115	W 49-3		1.4	+0.00
2	@	38	40	41	L 8-43		2.7	−0.66
3		93	86	103	L 20-48		3.9	−0.95
4	@	101	103	97	L 21-24		4.3	−0.94
6	@	113	112	91	L 34-55		4.5	−0.95
7		106	106	100	L 13-23		4.4	−0.97
8		83	84	83	W 35-31		3.7	+0.06
9	@	132	133	134	W 35-21		3.4	+0.01
10		48	54	43	L 23-54		3.0	−0.85
11	@	70	67	80	+20.49%	9%	3.3	+0.17−0.83
12		105	94	130	+3.640%	40%	4.3	+0.03−0.97
13	@	120	122	92	+5.934%	34%	4.7	+0.04−0.96

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−5.25#124 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Louisiana+0.06

Worst loss

Arkansas State−0.97

Outlook

All games

proj. 3.8–8.2

6+1%

Sun Belt games

proj. 2.8–5.2

4+18%

5+1%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −5.25
Projected −7.18
Win out −5.01
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

-17.1#127

KFord

—

SP+

-15.9#125

FPI

-14.9#122

FEI

-0.83#120

MASSEY

6.52#122

DOKTER

25.84#129

SAGARIN

50.64#127

RQI

-5.248#124

SOS

11.49#111

Offense

Rating

15.40#114

Success

-0.04#124

PPA

-0.06#110

Rush

0.03#68

Pass

-0.17#121

PPO

0.02#92

Drive Q

-11.70#133

Defense

Rating

32.50#135

Success

0.03#122

PPA

0.07#113

Rush

0.01#83

Pass

0.12#116

PPO

0.20#110

Drive Q

3.30#110