at
22.0–26.2
38%
62%
TSR
-10.6#105
Offense
21.1#94
Defense
31.7#130
SOS
11.45#106
PCR
0.361#107
RQI
-4.16#107
Advertisement
Next game
Advertisement
| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39 | 39 | 47 | W 39-14 | ||
| 2 | @ | 101 | 103 | 97 | L 24-28 | |
| 3 | 95 | 101 | 57 | W 41-36 | ||
| 4 | @ | 29 | 21 | 51 | L 21-45 | |
| 5 | 132 | 133 | 134 | W 52-35 | ||
| 6 | @ | 106 | 106 | 100 | W 56-49 | |
| 8 | @ | 118 | 110 | 115 | L 13-20 | |
| 9 | 70 | 67 | 80 | L 20-35 | ||
| 10 | @ | 83 | 84 | 83 | L 26-28 | |
| 11 | 113 | 112 | 91 | −4.262% | ||
| 12 | @ | 127 | 114 | 135 | −3.660% | |
| 13 | 99 | 101 | 86 | −1.855% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−4.16#107 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Arkansas State+0.05
Worst loss
Marshall−0.96
Outlook
All games
proj. 5.8–6.26+63%
7+20%
Sun Belt games
proj. 3.8–4.24+63%
5+20%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −4.16
- Projected −5.31
- Win out −4.08
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-10.6#105
KFord
—
SP+
-12.3#116
FPI
-10.0#104
FEI
-0.46#98
MASSEY
6.90#105
DOKTER
36.63#98
SAGARIN
57.98#102
RQI
-4.162#107
SOS
11.45#106
Offense
Rating
21.10#94
Success
0.01#66
PPA
0.09#39
Rush
0.18#8
Pass
0.07#57
PPO
0.24#77
Drive Q
8.30#55
Defense
Rating
31.70#130
Success
0.07#134
PPA
0.13#129
Rush
0.19#137
Pass
-0.11#41
PPO
0.70#134
Drive Q
8.00#128