SMU

7-2 (5-2 ACC) • Week 11 • 2026

@SMUFB on X
TSR
11.6#31
Offense
36.4#25
Defense
24.8#49
SOS
11.18#80
PCR
0.741#31
RQI
-0.66#33
Advertisement

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.3
 
at
31.8–29.4
 
Wake Forest-2.3
Advertisement
WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1@473875W 27-24
2382872W 56-10
3@201273L 31-41
4125122115W 34-24
5818378W 25-16
7576451W 23-13
8949199W 59-20
9@696869L 27-30
10495059W 51-28
11131624+2.444%
12@2410+17.013%
13@9892122−17.788%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−0.66#33 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winFlorida State+0.28
Worst lossSyracuse−0.82

Outlook

All games

proj. 8.4–3.6
7+
8+94%
9+45%
10+5%

ACC games

proj. 6.3–2.7
5+
6+93%
7+38%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
2%line +0.67
Top 24
36%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −0.66
  • Projected −0.98
  • Win out +0.58
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
11.6#31
KFord
—
SP+
15.8#19
FPI
11.9#32
FEI
0.28#48
MASSEY
8.18#31
DOKTER
58.26#36
SAGARIN
80.26#34
RQI
-0.657#33
SOS
11.18#80

Offense

Rating
36.40#25
Success
0.10#3
PPA
0.23#5
Rush
0.12#27
Pass
0.31#6
PPO
0.73#35
Drive Q
23.90#3

Defense

Rating
24.80#49
Success
-0.00#86
PPA
0.04#99
Rush
0.15#130
Pass
-0.09#47
PPO
0.26#117
Drive Q
-10.10#41