at
15.8–27.6
21%
79%
TSR
-11.8#112
Offense
13.9#121
Defense
25.7#61
SOS
11.39#100
PCR
0.371#106
RQI
-4.02#105
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 17 | 17 | 35 | L 26-42 | |
| 1 | @ | 128 | 129 | 101 | W 27-21 | |
| 2 | 77 | 53 | 94 | W 30-20 | ||
| 3 | 71 | 78 | 48 | L 10-26 | ||
| 5 | @ | 108 | 119 | 59 | W 20-16 | |
| 6 | 100 | 116 | 49 | L 13-16 | ||
| 7 | @ | 137 | 136 | 128 | W 24-11 | |
| 8 | @ | 102 | 113 | 59 | L 13-28 | |
| 9 | 45 | 59 | 13 | L 16-21 | ||
| 10 | 134 | 132 | 136 | W 30-19 | ||
| 11 | @ | 80 | 89 | 54 | +11.821% | |
| 12 | 89 | 86 | 95 | +3.441% | ||
| 13 | 62 | 82 | 15 | +11.023% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−4.02#105 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Hawai'i+0.05
Worst loss
Wyoming−0.97
Outlook
All games
proj. 5.8–7.26+64%
7+19%
8+2%
Mountain West games
proj. 3.8–5.24+64%
5+19%
6+2%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −4.02
- Projected −5.89
- Win out −3.74
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-11.8#112
KFord
—
SP+
-10.7#110
FPI
-12.0#111
FEI
-0.68#114
MASSEY
6.88#106
DOKTER
34.41#108
SAGARIN
55.78#113
RQI
-4.020#105
SOS
11.39#100
Offense
Rating
13.90#121
Success
-0.08#135
PPA
-0.07#113
Rush
-0.12#123
Pass
0.10#49
PPO
-0.46#120
Drive Q
5.30#69
Defense
Rating
25.70#61
Success
0.06#132
PPA
-0.03#64
Rush
0.04#97
Pass
-0.15#30
PPO
-0.45#49
Drive Q
0.40#99