at
24.2–23.0
53%
47%
TSR
-9.0#97
Offense
21.3#93
Defense
30.2#117
SOS
11.21#82
PCR
0.407#99
RQI
-3.72#99
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80 | 35 | 112 | W 53-20 | ||
| 2 | @ | 14 | 23 | 7 | L 10-28 | |
| 3 | 48 | 54 | 43 | L 13-26 | ||
| 4 | @ | 83 | 85 | 82 | L 16-41 | |
| 5 | 61 | 39 | 120 | W 31-29 | ||
| 6 | @ | 65 | 47 | 105 | L 14-66 | |
| 7 | 71 | 78 | 48 | W 26-23 | ||
| 8 | @ | 115 | 81 | 138 | L 49-56 | |
| 9 | 102 | 105 | 89 | W 26-20 | ||
| 11 | 87 | 100 | 39 | +1.247% | ||
| 12 | @ | 36 | 22 | 63 | +22.67% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−3.72#99 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Texas State+0.12
Worst loss
Colorado State−0.95
Outlook
All games
proj. 4.5–6.55+51%
6+3%
Pac-12 games
proj. 3.5–3.53+
4+51%
5+3%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −3.72
- Projected −4.73
- Win out −3.27
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-9.0#97
KFord
—
SP+
-8.4#102
FPI
-9.5#98
FEI
-0.56#105
MASSEY
7.16#94
DOKTER
35.37#104
SAGARIN
59.36#98
RQI
-3.716#99
SOS
11.21#82
Offense
Rating
21.30#93
Success
-0.03#108
PPA
0.00#82
Rush
-0.03#95
Pass
-0.06#95
PPO
-0.02#96
Drive Q
-5.80#121
Defense
Rating
30.20#117
Success
0.10#137
PPA
0.02#90
Rush
0.07#106
Pass
-0.02#79
PPO
-0.09#85
Drive Q
6.50#124