Sacramento State

2-8 (1-6 Mid-American) • Week 11 • 2026

@SacHornetsFB on X
TSR
-27.3#138
Offense
3.1#138
Defense
30.5#119
SOS
11.73#138
PCR
0.009#138
RQI
-7.54#137
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Next game

Wed, Nov 11GQI 2.2
 
at
9.6–27.4
 
Central Michigan-17.8
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1@128129101L 17-28
1124124120W 52-0
2@717848L 3-49
3628215L 10-31
412612895L 6-35
6@129130110L 10-38
79510157L 7-48
8@130127132L 17-34
9133136120W 31-10
10838582L 17-20
11@11412071+17.812%
13@10811959+18.811%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−7.54#137 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winKent State+0.01
Worst lossMassachusetts−0.99

Outlook

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −7.54
  • Projected −9.21
  • Win out −7.44
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
-27.3#138
KFord
—
SP+
-24.9#135
FPI
-28.7#138
FEI
-1.71#138
MASSEY
5.85#138
DOKTER
14.32#138
SAGARIN
41.82#138
RQI
-7.535#137
SOS
11.73#138

Offense

Rating
3.10#138
Success
-0.07#134
PPA
-0.19#136
Rush
-0.22#134
Pass
-0.25#132
PPO
-0.67#125
Drive Q
-3.90#113

Defense

Rating
30.50#119
Success
-0.03#37
PPA
-0.12#25
Rush
-0.06#53
Pass
-0.27#5
PPO
0.23#113
Drive Q
-5.80#66