Purdue

3-6 (2-4 Big Ten) • Week 11 • 2026

@BoilerFootball on X
TSR
1.5#68
Offense
29.2#56
Defense
27.7#88
SOS
10.37#21
PCR
0.483#83
RQI
-3.25#87
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 7.5
 
at
18.8–36.2
 
Iowa-17.3
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1563492W 44-19
2131624L 36-38
3@14237L 38-52
42410L 10-49
5@394435W 24-17
6506833W 41-13
7404628L 26-38
9@333626L 17-31
107566105L 29-34
11@15294+17.413%
1235486+6.233%
13@8141+23.27%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.25#87 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winIllinois+0.34
Worst lossMaryland−0.92

Outlook

All games

proj. 3.5–8.5
6+

Big Ten games

proj. 2.5–6.5
4+7%
5+

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −3.25
  • Projected −4.25
  • Win out −1.78
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
1.5#68
KFord
—
SP+
-2.4#84
FPI
1.3#66
FEI
0.26#49
MASSEY
7.55#69
DOKTER
50.78#54
SAGARIN
71.77#59
RQI
-3.251#87
SOS
10.37#21

Offense

Rating
29.20#56
Success
-0.03#111
PPA
0.01#81
Rush
0.00#80
Pass
0.00#76
PPO
0.43#55
Drive Q
14.40#26

Defense

Rating
27.70#88
Success
0.04#123
PPA
0.15#134
Rush
0.06#102
Pass
0.34#134
PPO
0.48#123
Drive Q
-3.60#78