Penn State

5-4 (2-4 Big Ten) • Week 11 • 2026

@PennStateFball on X
TSR
11.1#33
Offense
33.4#36
Defense
22.3#26
SOS
10.87#51
PCR
0.613#58
RQI
-2.09#64
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.6
 
at
21.6–31.4
 
Penn State-9.7
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1118110115W 45-0
2@109104110W 27-9
311912681W 55-13
435486L 20-24
5@302832L 13-34
6171735L 23-31
7@37642L 18-21
9675589W 31-17
10@404628W 28-25
11506833−9.875%
128979112−19.690%
13@7566105−9.875%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−2.09#64 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winWashington+0.34
Worst lossWisconsin−0.75

Outlook

All games

proj. 7.4–4.6
6+99%
7+90%
8+51%

Big Ten games

proj. 4.4–4.6
4+90%
5+51%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −2.09
  • Projected −2.36
  • Win out −1.76
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
11.1#33
KFord
—
SP+
9.3#38
FPI
12.1#31
FEI
0.68#22
MASSEY
8.16#34
DOKTER
60.42#31
SAGARIN
79.74#35
RQI
-2.086#64
SOS
10.87#51

Offense

Rating
33.40#36
Success
-0.00#84
PPA
0.08#46
Rush
0.08#46
Pass
0.10#45
PPO
0.46#52
Drive Q
12.40#33

Defense

Rating
22.30#26
Success
-0.04#32
PPA
-0.08#43
Rush
0.04#98
Pass
-0.22#16
PPO
0.14#105
Drive Q
-14.30#23