Oregon

6-3 (4-2 Big Ten) • Week 11 • 2026

@OregonFootball on X
TSR
19.5#9
Offense
42.1#9
Defense
22.6#30
SOS
10.02#12
PCR
0.850#14
RQI
0.24#19
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.0
 
at
21.2–34.2
 
Oregon-13.0
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1362263W 34-27
2@241095L 31-39
38035112W 84-0
4@171735W 41-27
614237L 15-17
7283515W 17-14
8@394435L 10-21
9302832W 34-26
10@559W 41-28
1137642−13.081%
12@647439−14.484%
13404628−14.083%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

+0.24#19 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winOhio State+0.73
Worst lossIllinois−0.66

Outlook

All games

proj. 8.5–3.5
6+
7+99%
8+92%
9+56%

Big Ten games

proj. 6.5–2.5
4+
5+99%
6+92%
7+56%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
46%line +0.67
Top 24
92%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now +0.24
  • Projected +0.34
  • Win out +0.86
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
19.5#9
KFord
—
SP+
16.9#15
FPI
19.7#9
FEI
0.79#15
MASSEY
8.67#11
DOKTER
69.37#9
SAGARIN
89.41#8
RQI
0.238#19
SOS
10.02#12

Offense

Rating
42.10#9
Success
-0.00#82
PPA
0.08#42
Rush
-0.08#114
Pass
0.23#18
PPO
0.76#30
Drive Q
6.50#64

Defense

Rating
22.60#30
Success
-0.09#8
PPA
-0.18#13
Rush
-0.03#67
Pass
-0.27#6
PPO
-0.92#22
Drive Q
-20.60#8