Ole Miss

6-3 (4-3 SEC) • Week 11 • 2026

@OleMissFB on X
TSR
17.6#12
Offense
42.6#8
Defense
25.0#53
SOS
9.70#3
PCR
0.871#11
RQI
0.53#11
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.5
 
at
31.0–29.8
 
Ole Miss-1.2
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1N201273W 41-38
2136131137W 41-9
37613W 32-24
4@261955L 28-52
6@676073W 52-17
7212722W 31-3
8@675L 27-34
9384041W 45-15
10133L 7-42
11@23338−1.253%
12457127−52.2>99%
13443364−13.181%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

+0.53#11 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winLSU+0.54
Worst lossFlorida−0.56

Outlook

All games

proj. 8.3–3.7
6+
7+
8+91%
9+43%

SEC games

proj. 5.3–3.7
4+
5+91%
6+43%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
43%line +0.67
Top 24
91%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now +0.53
  • Projected +0.53
  • Win out +1.18
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
17.6#12
KFord
—
SP+
13.5#30
FPI
18.3#12
FEI
1.10#7
MASSEY
8.67#12
DOKTER
68.01#11
SAGARIN
87.36#12
RQI
0.525#11
SOS
9.70#3

Offense

Rating
42.60#8
Success
0.07#16
PPA
0.08#45
Rush
0.15#18
Pass
0.04#67
PPO
1.11#10
Drive Q
12.60#32

Defense

Rating
25.00#53
Success
-0.02#60
PPA
0.01#78
Rush
-0.02#69
Pass
0.01#87
PPO
-0.39#58
Drive Q
-5.20#68