at
22.2–22.0
51%
49%
TSR
-7.2#95
Offense
18.3#101
Defense
25.4#57
SOS
11.53#121
PCR
0.621#54
RQI
-1.38#45
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 28 | 35 | 15 | L 21-49 | |
| 2 | 83 | 96 | 45 | W 29-27 | ||
| 3 | @ | 105 | 94 | 130 | L 36-41 | |
| 4 | 94 | 119 | 50 | W 35-7 | ||
| 5 | @ | 133 | 136 | 120 | W 13-10 | |
| 6 | 114 | 120 | 71 | W 31-14 | ||
| 7 | @ | 138 | 138 | 119 | W 48-7 | |
| 8 | 128 | 129 | 101 | W 24-20 | ||
| 10 | @ | 135 | 135 | 128 | W 28-20 | |
| 11 | @ | 104 | 107 | 86 | −0.251% | |
| 12 | 130 | 127 | 132 | −16.486% | ||
| 13 | 83 | 85 | 82 | −0.050% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−1.38#45 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Jacksonville State+0.06
Worst loss
South Alabama−0.94
Outlook
All games
proj. 8.9–3.17+
8+97%
9+68%
10+22%
Mid-American games
proj. 6.9–1.15+
6+97%
7+68%
8+22%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −1.38
- Projected −2.38
- Win out −1.25
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-7.2#95
KFord
—
SP+
-0.4#74
FPI
-8.3#96
FEI
-0.35#90
MASSEY
7.15#95
DOKTER
37.34#96
SAGARIN
59.61#96
RQI
-1.376#45
SOS
11.53#121
Offense
Rating
18.30#101
Success
0.01#70
PPA
0.04#57
Rush
-0.03#97
Pass
0.12#39
PPO
0.26#73
Drive Q
1.50#89
Defense
Rating
25.40#57
Success
0.00#91
PPA
-0.07#47
Rush
0.00#81
Pass
-0.10#45
PPO
0.10#100
Drive Q
3.40#111