Northwestern

6-3 (3-3 Big Ten) • Week 11 • 2026

@NUFBFamily on X

TSR

11.8#30

Offense

34.5#28

Defense

22.8#32

SOS

10.44#27

PCR

0.747#29

RQI

-0.64#32

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.1

23.0–37.8

84%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		1	7	1	W 34-18		7.2	+0.08
3		76	75	78	W 41-7		6.9	+0.07
4	@	8	14	1	L 23-29		9.2	−0.31
5		33	36	26	W 34-13		9.4	+0.26
6		130	127	132	W 45-14		2.2	+0.01
7	@	64	74	39	W 24-21		8.0	+0.20
8		89	79	112	W 42-14		5.8	+0.05
9	@	9	9	30	L 26-34		9.3	−0.37
10		15	29	4	L 10-24		9.4	−0.63
11	@	5	5	9	+14.816%	16%	9.1	+0.73−0.27
12	@	50	68	33	−4.462%	62%	8.5	+0.24−0.76
13		39	44	35	−6.266%	66%	9.2	+0.21−0.79

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−0.64#32 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Penn State+0.26

Worst loss

Iowa−0.63

Outlook

All games

proj. 7.4–4.6

7+89%

8+49%

9+7%

Big Ten games

proj. 4.4–4.6

4+89%

5+49%

6+7%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

2%line +0.67

Top 24

24%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −0.64
Projected −1.01
Win out +0.54
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

11.8#30

KFord

—

SP+

12.4#33

FPI

12.3#30

FEI

0.67#23

MASSEY

8.24#29

DOKTER

60.55#30

SAGARIN

81.28#30

RQI

-0.639#32

SOS

10.44#27

Offense

Rating

34.50#28

Success

0.09#8

PPA

0.11#27

Rush

0.18#6

Pass

-0.02#84

PPO

0.71#38

Drive Q

19.10#9

Defense

Rating

22.80#32

Success

0.01#92

PPA

-0.06#52

Rush

-0.01#74

Pass

-0.13#34

PPO

-0.65#30

Drive Q

-2.10#84