at
31.4–30.2
53%
47%
TSR
2.9#58
Offense
34.3#30
Defense
31.4#127
SOS
11.08#70
PCR
0.710#37
RQI
-0.73#34
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 8 | 14 | 1 | L 16-52 | |
| 2 | 89 | 86 | 95 | W 44-6 | ||
| 3 | @ | 61 | 39 | 120 | L 35-49 | |
| 4 | 60 | 68 | 47 | W 63-14 | ||
| 5 | @ | 72 | 72 | 84 | W 45-44 | |
| 6 | 136 | 131 | 137 | W 50-10 | ||
| 8 | @ | 86 | 77 | 108 | W 49-39 | |
| 9 | 91 | 71 | 133 | W 48-41 | ||
| 10 | 122 | 111 | 131 | W 52-23 | ||
| 11 | @ | 74 | 63 | 108 | −1.253% | |
| 12 | @ | 101 | 103 | 97 | −10.075% | |
| 13 | 111 | 117 | 77 | −17.888% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−0.73#34 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Tulsa+0.15
Worst loss
Texas State−0.80
Outlook
All games
proj. 9.2–2.87+
8+99%
9+83%
10+35%
American Athletic games
proj. 7.2–0.85+
6+99%
7+83%
8+35%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
5%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −0.73
- Projected −1.33
- Win out −0.50
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
2.9#58
KFord
—
SP+
4.7#52
FPI
3.7#55
FEI
0.00#64
MASSEY
7.77#56
DOKTER
50.12#57
SAGARIN
70.71#65
RQI
-0.727#34
SOS
11.08#70
Offense
Rating
34.30#30
Success
0.07#21
PPA
0.21#8
Rush
0.16#15
Pass
0.26#13
PPO
0.88#21
Drive Q
13.80#28
Defense
Rating
31.40#127
Success
-0.00#77
PPA
0.01#81
Rush
-0.11#34
Pass
0.14#122
PPO
0.23#115
Drive Q
-7.00#57