at
26.5–15.8
77%
23%
TSR
2.2#63
Offense
23.5#82
Defense
21.2#16
SOS
11.54#122
PCR
0.651#46
RQI
-1.34#43
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 83 | 96 | 45 | W 33-7 | ||
| 1 | 102 | 108 | 82 | W 38-0 | ||
| 2 | @ | 80 | 89 | 54 | W 38-32 | |
| 3 | @ | 138 | 138 | 119 | W 31-10 | |
| 5 | 100 | 116 | 49 | W 28-0 | ||
| 6 | @ | 89 | 86 | 95 | L 7-13 | |
| 7 | 102 | 113 | 59 | W 31-17 | ||
| 8 | @ | 45 | 59 | 13 | L 16-21 | |
| 9 | 137 | 136 | 128 | W 31-7 | ||
| 11 | @ | 108 | 119 | 59 | −10.777% | |
| 12 | 134 | 132 | 136 | −28.696% | ||
| 13 | @ | 111 | 121 | 59 | −11.077% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−1.34#43 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Air Force+0.12
Worst loss
UNLV−0.90
Outlook
All games
proj. 9.5–2.57+
8+
9+93%
10+57%
Mountain West games
proj. 6.5–2.54+
5+
6+93%
7+57%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −1.34
- Projected −1.73
- Win out −1.23
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
2.2#63
KFord
—
SP+
10.7#34
FPI
0.8#68
FEI
-0.10#73
MASSEY
7.56#67
DOKTER
49.30#64
SAGARIN
68.79#69
RQI
-1.338#43
SOS
11.54#122
Offense
Rating
23.50#82
Success
-0.02#100
PPA
-0.02#96
Rush
-0.03#98
Pass
-0.05#94
PPO
0.34#62
Drive Q
6.60#62
Defense
Rating
21.20#16
Success
-0.06#21
PPA
-0.12#27
Rush
-0.11#30
Pass
-0.15#29
PPO
-1.47#3
Drive Q
-18.70#9