at
32.7–29.3
59%
41%
TSR
7.8#42
Offense
32.1#43
Defense
24.3#44
SOS
10.37#22
PCR
0.676#41
RQI
-1.31#42
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N | 43 | 60 | 12 | W 15-10 | |
| 2 | 28 | 31 | 42 | W 35-3 | ||
| 3 | @ | 46 | 57 | 28 | L 20-28 | |
| 5 | 2 | 4 | 10 | L 26-37 | ||
| 6 | @ | 41 | 45 | 37 | W 21-17 | |
| 7 | @ | 34 | 41 | 19 | W 24-20 | |
| 8 | 69 | 68 | 69 | L 30-31 | ||
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | L 35-38 | ||
| 10 | @ | 93 | 86 | 103 | W 38-21 | |
| 11 | 20 | 12 | 73 | +3.441% | ||
| 12 | @ | 57 | 64 | 51 | −1.855% | |
| 13 | 72 | 70 | 93 | −11.779% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−1.31#42 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Duke+0.40
Worst loss
Syracuse−0.90
Outlook
All games
proj. 6.7–5.36+94%
7+62%
8+18%
ACC games
proj. 3.7–4.34+62%
5+18%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −1.31
- Projected −1.94
- Win out −0.68
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
7.8#42
KFord
—
SP+
5.3#50
FPI
9.3#36
FEI
0.30#45
MASSEY
7.99#44
DOKTER
56.13#42
SAGARIN
77.90#40
RQI
-1.307#42
SOS
10.37#22
Offense
Rating
32.10#43
Success
0.09#9
PPA
0.16#15
Rush
0.08#44
Pass
0.24#17
PPO
1.00#15
Drive Q
9.90#46
Defense
Rating
24.30#44
Success
0.00#88
PPA
-0.14#22
Rush
-0.06#52
Pass
-0.23#14
PPO
-0.45#48
Drive Q
-4.80#72