at
20.3–23.2
42%
58%
TSR
-16.4#123
Offense
13.4#124
Defense
29.8#113
SOS
11.50#116
PCR
0.250#122
RQI
-5.21#123
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 47 | 38 | 75 | L 17-34 | |
| 1 | 116 | 74 | 121 | W 51-14 | ||
| 2 | @ | 108 | 119 | 59 | L 19-29 | |
| 4 | 45 | 59 | 13 | L 18-42 | ||
| 5 | 121 | 115 | 123 | W 34-13 | ||
| 6 | @ | 117 | 125 | 66 | L 3-22 | |
| 8 | @ | 131 | 134 | 117 | W 30-24 | |
| 9 | 83 | 96 | 45 | L 0-24 | ||
| 10 | 51 | 73 | 24 | L 14-30 | ||
| 11 | @ | 125 | 122 | 115 | +2.942% | |
| 12 | 107 | 98 | 125 | +2.244% | ||
| 13 | @ | 123 | 118 | 126 | +3.042% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−5.21#123 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Western Kentucky+0.02
Worst loss
Florida International−0.96
Outlook
All games
proj. 4.3–7.76+8%
Conference USA games
proj. 3.3–4.74+39%
5+8%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −5.21
- Projected −6.85
- Win out −5.12
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-16.4#123
KFord
—
SP+
-16.1#127
FPI
-15.3#124
FEI
-0.93#128
MASSEY
6.49#124
DOKTER
29.61#122
SAGARIN
51.40#125
RQI
-5.207#123
SOS
11.50#116
Offense
Rating
13.40#124
Success
-0.01#96
PPA
-0.11#127
Rush
-0.10#118
Pass
-0.23#129
PPO
-0.14#107
Drive Q
-3.20#111
Defense
Rating
29.80#113
Success
0.02#103
PPA
0.02#88
Rush
-0.01#77
Pass
-0.07#57
PPO
0.22#112
Drive Q
-6.00#65