at
17.2–33.0
86%
TSR
7.4#45
Offense
28.4#59
Defense
21.0#14
SOS
11.44#105
PCR
0.769#25
RQI
-0.20#22
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 114 | 120 | 71 | W 38-7 | ||
| 2 | 116 | 74 | 121 | W 70-7 | ||
| 3 | @ | 23 | 33 | 8 | L 6-14 | |
| 4 | @ | 123 | 124 | 113 | W 42-18 | |
| 5 | 137 | 136 | 128 | W 61-7 | ||
| 7 | @ | 108 | 119 | 59 | W 21-10 | |
| 8 | 62 | 82 | 15 | W 21-16 | ||
| 9 | @ | 111 | 121 | 59 | W 21-16 | |
| 10 | @ | 102 | 113 | 59 | W 31-3 | |
| 11 | 89 | 86 | 95 | −15.886% | ||
| 12 | @ | 100 | 116 | 49 | −14.183% | |
| 13 | 80 | 89 | 54 | −13.482% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−0.20#22 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
North Dakota State+0.11
Worst loss
Oklahoma−0.53
Outlook
All games
proj. 10.5–1.58+
9+
10+93%
11+58%
Mountain West games
proj. 7.5–0.55+
6+
7+93%
8+58%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
57%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −0.20
- Projected −0.52
- Win out −0.02
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
7.4#45
KFord
—
SP+
14.4#24
FPI
7.8#42
FEI
0.18#55
MASSEY
7.84#51
DOKTER
54.21#46
SAGARIN
74.29#48
RQI
-0.203#22
SOS
11.44#105
Offense
Rating
28.40#59
Success
0.02#50
PPA
0.02#72
Rush
0.11#34
Pass
-0.13#110
PPO
0.42#56
Drive Q
24.10#2
Defense
Rating
21.00#14
Success
-0.12#1
PPA
-0.23#3
Rush
-0.37#1
Pass
-0.16#28
PPO
-1.21#8
Drive Q
-26.40#1