at
26.6–27.8
47%
53%
TSR
-0.9#72
Offense
27.0#70
Defense
28.0#93
SOS
11.13#77
PCR
0.452#91
RQI
-3.48#95
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 57 | 64 | 51 | L 8-34 | |
| 2 | 76 | 104 | 43 | W 73-0 | ||
| 3 | @ | 67 | 60 | 73 | L 31-35 | |
| 4 | 99 | 101 | 86 | W 41-31 | ||
| 5 | 20 | 12 | 73 | W 31-28 | ||
| 6 | 13 | 16 | 24 | L 14-38 | ||
| 8 | @ | 98 | 92 | 122 | L 28-31 | |
| 9 | 94 | 91 | 99 | W 31-10 | ||
| 10 | 34 | 41 | 19 | L 3-41 | ||
| 11 | 69 | 68 | 69 | −1.253% | ||
| 12 | @ | 47 | 38 | 75 | +10.324% | |
| 13 | @ | 42 | 43 | 45 | +11.721% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−3.48#95 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Louisville+0.33
Worst loss
Stanford−0.93
Outlook
All games
proj. 5.0–7.06+24%
7+3%
ACC games
proj. 3.0–6.04+24%
5+3%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −3.48
- Projected −4.79
- Win out −2.78
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-0.9#72
KFord
—
SP+
-2.3#82
FPI
-1.3#73
FEI
-0.09#72
MASSEY
7.49#73
DOKTER
44.33#76
SAGARIN
68.16#72
RQI
-3.478#95
SOS
11.13#77
Offense
Rating
27.00#70
Success
-0.01#93
PPA
-0.04#103
Rush
-0.17#132
Pass
0.03#72
PPO
0.49#49
Drive Q
3.40#80
Defense
Rating
28.00#93
Success
0.01#93
PPA
0.02#91
Rush
0.05#101
Pass
0.02#94
PPO
0.10#99
Drive Q
6.30#122