Navy

3-6 (2-4 American Athletic) • Week 11 • 2026

@NavyFB on X
TSR
-4.7#86
Offense
24.6#77
Defense
29.3#109
SOS
11.10#74
PCR
0.336#111
RQI
-4.65#115
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Next game

Sat, Nov 21GQI 6.9
 
at
30.0–25.2
 
Memphis-4.8
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
18358101W 42-15
2@9171133L 30-38
4@11111777L 20-24
5@808954L 9-14
6727284W 34-26
7@7463108L 34-38
85830127L 39-49
9N2410L 13-35
10109104110W 42-35
12555375+4.837%
13@136131137−16.186%
15N797689+1.845%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−4.65#115 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winTulsa+0.08
Worst lossUAB−0.95

Outlook

All games

proj. 4.7–7.3
6+14%

American Athletic games

proj. 3.7–5.3
4+58%
5+14%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −4.65
  • Projected −5.75
  • Win out −4.42
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
-4.7#86
KFord
—
SP+
-3.1#87
FPI
-4.4#88
FEI
-0.35#89
MASSEY
7.03#98
DOKTER
43.54#78
SAGARIN
63.24#89
RQI
-4.652#115
SOS
11.10#74

Offense

Rating
24.60#77
Success
0.05#28
PPA
0.05#53
Rush
0.09#39
Pass
0.49#1
PPO
-0.02#94
Drive Q
6.60#63

Defense

Rating
29.30#109
Success
-0.02#57
PPA
-0.03#65
Rush
-0.06#51
Pass
0.00#85
PPO
-0.00#91
Drive Q
6.00#121