Minnesota

5-4 (3-3 Big Ten) • Week 11 • 2026

@GopherFootball on X

TSR

4.4#50

Offense

27.3#68

Defense

22.9#33

SOS

10.50#30

PCR

0.637#48

RQI

-1.62#52

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 8.6

21.6–31.4

25%

75%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		62	60	60	W 59-7		1.5	+0.00
2		44	33	64	L 13-38		8.8	−0.81
3		135	135	128	W 41-7		1.9	+0.01
4	@	40	46	28	W 27-24		8.7	+0.34
5		37	64	2	W 20-14		8.7	+0.22
6	@	67	55	89	L 13-41		8.4	−0.81
8		15	29	4	W 13-10		8.2	+0.37
9	@	8	14	1	L 16-23		7.8	−0.31
10		14	23	7	L 20-34		8.2	−0.62
11	@	33	36	26	+9.825%	25%	8.6	+0.40−0.60
12		30	28	32	+4.438%	38%	8.5	+0.27−0.73
13	@	35	48	6	+9.326%	26%	8.6	+0.39−0.61

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−1.62#52 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Iowa+0.37

Worst loss

Mississippi State−0.81

Outlook

All games

proj. 5.9–6.1

6+66%

7+21%

8+2%

Big Ten games

proj. 3.9–5.1

4+66%

5+21%

6+2%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −1.62
Projected −2.66
Win out −0.55
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

4.4#50

KFord

—

SP+

1.3#67

FPI

1.9#62

FEI

0.22#50

MASSEY

8.00#43

DOKTER

50.92#53

SAGARIN

75.69#46

RQI

-1.617#52

SOS

10.50#30

Offense

Rating

27.30#68

Success

-0.04#120

PPA

0.05#55

Rush

0.02#70

Pass

0.05#62

PPO

-0.26#114

Drive Q

1.80#87

Defense

Rating

22.90#33

Success

-0.04#33

PPA

-0.08#41

Rush

-0.14#22

Pass

0.13#119

PPO

-0.09#86

Drive Q

-14.20#24