Middle Tennessee

5-4 (3-2 Conference USA) • Week 11 • 2026

@MT_FB on X

TSR

-16.4#124

Offense

14.9#118

Defense

31.3#126

SOS

11.62#130

PCR

0.404#100

RQI

-3.48#96

Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 3.2

11.8–35.6

93%

Wk	Opponent	Rk	Off	Def	Result	Win%	GQI	Resume
1		92	58	109	W 38-14		1.3	+0.00
2	@	118	110	115	L 26-28		4.9	−0.96
3		102	113	59	W 27-20		4.5	+0.03
4	@	83	96	45	L 13-23		3.9	−0.89
5	@	54	52	66	L 0-55		3.2	−0.77
7		107	98	125	W 33-30		4.6	+0.03
8	@	117	125	66	W 26-23		4.8	+0.04
9		116	108	107	L 28-44		4.8	−0.98
10		121	115	123	W 51-42		5.1	+0.02
11	@	51	73	24	+23.87%	7%	3.2	+0.24−0.76
12	@	131	134	117	−2.457%	57%	3.5	+0.02−0.98
13		123	124	113	−3.058%	58%	5.2	+0.02−0.98

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.48#96 RQIwins above the #12 team

Best win

Florida International+0.04

Worst loss

Kennesaw State−0.98

Outlook

All games

proj. 6.2–5.8

6+83%

7+36%

8+2%

Conference USA games

proj. 4.2–3.8

4+83%

5+36%

6+2%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace

Top 12

<1%line +0.67

Top 24

<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

Now −3.48
Projected −5.00
Win out −3.21
Top 12 line +0.67
Top 24 line −0.45
conference game
win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR

-16.4#124

KFord

—

SP+

-14.5#124

FPI

-16.6#127

FEI

-0.88#126

MASSEY

6.71#115

DOKTER

28.19#124

SAGARIN

51.88#123

RQI

-3.484#96

SOS

11.62#130

Offense

Rating

14.90#118

Success

0.02#51

PPA

0.02#69

Rush

0.03#67

Pass

-0.01#80

PPO

0.25#75

Drive Q

5.70#66

Defense

Rating

31.30#126

Success

0.06#130

PPA

0.16#135

Rush

0.15#132

Pass

0.16#127

PPO

0.56#126

Drive Q

-0.20#95