at
22.2–22.0
51%
49%
TSR
-10.4#104
Offense
17.3#107
Defense
27.6#87
SOS
11.49#112
PCR
0.440#95
RQI
-3.28#89
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 41 | 45 | 37 | L 14-59 | |
| 2 | 67 | 67 | 55 | W 45-7 | ||
| 3 | @ | 53 | 42 | 102 | L 31-35 | |
| 4 | 93 | 86 | 103 | W 24-21 | ||
| 5 | 129 | 130 | 110 | L 20-24 | ||
| 6 | @ | 126 | 128 | 95 | W 20-19 | |
| 7 | 135 | 135 | 128 | W 34-14 | ||
| 8 | @ | 114 | 120 | 71 | W 28-27 | |
| 10 | 119 | 126 | 81 | L 31-34 | ||
| 11 | 95 | 101 | 57 | +0.249% | ||
| 12 | @ | 133 | 136 | 120 | −9.775% | |
| 13 | @ | 85 | 99 | 45 | +8.927% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−3.28#89 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
UConn+0.05
Worst loss
Bowling Green−0.99
Outlook
All games
proj. 6.5–5.56+91%
7+51%
8+10%
Mid-American games
proj. 4.5–3.54+91%
5+51%
6+10%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −3.28
- Projected −4.61
- Win out −3.12
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-10.4#104
KFord
—
SP+
-4.9#92
FPI
-10.1#105
FEI
-0.63#109
MASSEY
6.85#107
DOKTER
33.85#112
SAGARIN
57.00#105
RQI
-3.283#89
SOS
11.49#112
Offense
Rating
17.30#107
Success
-0.01#94
PPA
-0.01#87
Rush
0.18#10
Pass
-0.22#128
PPO
-0.03#98
Drive Q
7.00#60
Defense
Rating
27.60#87
Success
-0.00#83
PPA
0.00#77
Rush
-0.11#32
Pass
0.10#114
PPO
0.47#122
Drive Q
-1.70#85