at
26.2–23.4
58%
42%
TSR
3.1#55
Offense
29.9#53
Defense
26.7#76
SOS
11.47#108
PCR
0.660#44
RQI
-1.27#41
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 89 | 86 | 95 | W 27-21 | |
| 1 | 106 | 106 | 100 | W 42-24 | ||
| 2 | @ | 36 | 22 | 63 | L 20-38 | |
| 3 | 58 | 46 | 71 | W 45-21 | ||
| 5 | @ | 136 | 131 | 137 | W 59-8 | |
| 6 | 111 | 117 | 77 | W 38-13 | ||
| 7 | @ | 101 | 103 | 97 | L 17-31 | |
| 8 | 92 | 95 | 62 | W 41-34 | ||
| 9 | 79 | 76 | 89 | W 49-22 | ||
| 11 | @ | 77 | 97 | 30 | −2.858% | |
| 12 | @ | 86 | 77 | 108 | −4.863% | |
| 13 | 109 | 104 | 110 | −17.788% | ||
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−1.27#41 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
UNLV+0.10
Worst loss
Tulane−0.94
Outlook
All games
proj. 9.1–2.97+
8+98%
9+79%
10+32%
American Athletic games
proj. 6.1–1.94+
5+98%
6+79%
7+32%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −1.27
- Projected −1.93
- Win out −1.02
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
3.1#55
KFord
—
SP+
9.6#37
FPI
3.1#57
FEI
0.06#60
MASSEY
7.71#59
DOKTER
49.76#63
SAGARIN
69.38#67
RQI
-1.270#41
SOS
11.47#108
Offense
Rating
29.90#53
Success
0.09#10
PPA
0.12#26
Rush
-0.04#102
Pass
0.29#7
PPO
0.74#33
Drive Q
5.20#70
Defense
Rating
26.70#76
Success
-0.05#25
PPA
-0.06#48
Rush
0.01#85
Pass
-0.26#9
PPO
-0.17#75
Drive Q
1.50#106