at
14.6–30.2
85%
TSR
-16.8#126
Offense
11.3#128
Defense
28.1#96
SOS
11.73#137
PCR
0.382#104
RQI
-3.71#98
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ | 89 | 79 | 112 | W 37-21 | |
| 2 | 88 | 99 | 75 | W 37-10 | ||
| 3 | 94 | 119 | 50 | W 36-14 | ||
| 4 | @ | 138 | 138 | 119 | W 35-6 | |
| 5 | 128 | 129 | 101 | L 14-38 | ||
| 6 | 104 | 107 | 86 | L 19-20 | ||
| 7 | @ | 119 | 126 | 81 | L 18-25 | |
| 8 | @ | 93 | 86 | 103 | L 16-35 | |
| 10 | 130 | 127 | 132 | W 31-30 | ||
| 11 | @ | 83 | 85 | 82 | +15.615% | |
| 12 | 135 | 135 | 128 | −9.875% | ||
| 13 | @ | 129 | 130 | 110 | +0.947% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−3.71#98 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
Rutgers+0.10
Worst loss
Eastern Michigan−0.99
Outlook
All games
proj. 6.4–5.66+89%
7+43%
8+5%
Mid-American games
proj. 3.4–4.64+43%
5+5%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −3.71
- Projected −5.20
- Win out −3.57
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-16.8#126
KFord
—
SP+
-8.8#103
FPI
-15.3#125
FEI
-0.97#129
MASSEY
6.26#129
DOKTER
27.05#127
SAGARIN
49.51#129
RQI
-3.712#98
SOS
11.73#137
Offense
Rating
11.30#128
Success
-0.00#79
PPA
-0.02#91
Rush
-0.03#96
Pass
0.02#74
PPO
-0.04#99
Drive Q
-10.70#131
Defense
Rating
28.10#96
Success
-0.00#84
PPA
0.04#101
Rush
0.06#104
Pass
-0.08#54
PPO
-0.62#32
Drive Q
-6.40#61