Maryland

3-6 (1-5 Big Ten) • Week 11 • 2026

@TerpsFootball on X
TSR
-1.7#75
Offense
27.5#66
Defense
29.1#106
SOS
10.57#33
PCR
0.427#97
RQI
-3.76#101
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 7.1
 
at
31.5–22.1
 
Wisconsin-9.4
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1122124114W 62-0
2@9386103W 38-14
3495059L 26-35
414237L 3-54
5@283515L 23-48
6@559L 16-45
78979112L 30-37
9394435L 17-20
10@675589W 34-29
1135486+9.426%
12@171735+19.910%
13333626+9.825%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−3.76#101 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winPurdue+0.19
Worst lossRutgers−0.95

Outlook

All games

proj. 3.6–8.4
6+1%

Big Ten games

proj. 1.6–7.4
4+1%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −3.76
  • Projected −5.14
  • Win out −2.74
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
-1.7#75
KFord
—
SP+
-2.1#79
FPI
-3.3#81
FEI
-0.16#77
MASSEY
7.39#77
DOKTER
44.89#74
SAGARIN
68.76#71
RQI
-3.764#101
SOS
10.57#33

Offense

Rating
27.50#66
Success
-0.03#118
PPA
-0.02#90
Rush
0.05#58
Pass
-0.05#92
PPO
-0.06#101
Drive Q
1.10#91

Defense

Rating
29.10#106
Success
-0.02#52
PPA
0.03#93
Rush
0.06#103
Pass
-0.07#58
PPO
0.44#121
Drive Q
-12.20#30