Louisville

6-3 (5-2 ACC) • Week 11 • 2026

@LouisvilleFB on X
TSR
14.2#20
Offense
40.9#12
Defense
26.6#73
SOS
10.95#63
PCR
0.701#39
RQI
-1.20#40
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Next game

Sat, Nov 14GQI 9.0
 
at
32.7–29.3
 
Louisville-3.4
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WkOpponentRkOffDefResult
1N12853L 38-41
2434344W 59-13
3312449W 41-31
4131624L 27-30
5@727093L 28-31
6473875W 44-20
7@696869W 34-26
99892122W 52-24
10@8880104W 44-17
11@424345−3.459%
12414537−9.174%
13@292151+0.947%

conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add

Resume

−1.20#40 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best winSMU+0.27
Worst lossNC State−0.85

Outlook

All games

proj. 7.8–4.2
6+
7+94%
8+65%
9+21%

ACC games

proj. 6.3–2.7
5+
6+89%
7+44%

chance to win at least N games

Resume Path

0 = the #12 team's pace
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
19%line −0.45

Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.

  • Now −1.20
  • Projected −1.45
  • Win out −0.26
  • Top 12 line +0.67
  • Top 24 line −0.45
  • conference game
  • win / lossupcoming

Team Metrics

Primary Ratings

TSR
14.2#20
KFord
—
SP+
17.7#14
FPI
14.8#15
FEI
0.62#27
MASSEY
8.24#28
DOKTER
61.85#26
SAGARIN
83.24#20
RQI
-1.204#40
SOS
10.95#63

Offense

Rating
40.90#12
Success
0.07#17
PPA
0.14#21
Rush
0.13#23
Pass
0.16#32
PPO
0.69#40
Drive Q
8.60#53

Defense

Rating
26.60#73
Success
-0.06#22
PPA
-0.18#11
Rush
-0.12#27
Pass
-0.18#27
PPO
-0.99#17
Drive Q
-7.80#51