at
30.8–15.4
85%
TSR
-4.2#82
Offense
23.2#84
Defense
27.4#83
SOS
11.39#99
PCR
0.561#68
RQI
-2.14#65
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| Wk | Opponent | Rk | Off | Def | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 13 | 17 | W 38-7 | ||
| 2 | @ | 17 | 17 | 35 | L 30-49 | |
| 3 | 111 | 117 | 77 | W 21-14 | ||
| 4 | @ | 136 | 131 | 137 | W 34-7 | |
| 5 | 106 | 106 | 100 | W 23-20 | ||
| 6 | @ | 70 | 67 | 80 | L 31-32 | |
| 7 | 113 | 112 | 91 | W 33-6 | ||
| 8 | @ | 127 | 114 | 135 | L 31-35 | |
| 10 | 105 | 94 | 130 | W 28-26 | ||
| 11 | @ | 132 | 133 | 134 | −15.485% | |
| 12 | 110 | 108 | 97 | −10.476% | ||
| 13 | @ | 96 | 90 | 114 | −1.053% | |
conference game · Result shows the final or PEAR's line · Resume: a played game's value, or what a win / loss would add
Resume
−2.14#65 RQIwins above the #12 team
Best win
South Alabama+0.03
Worst loss
Southern Miss−0.97
Outlook
All games
proj. 8.1–3.96+
7+98%
8+82%
9+34%
Sun Belt games
proj. 5.1–2.94+98%
5+82%
6+34%
chance to win at least N games
Top 12
<1%line +0.67
Top 24
<1%line −0.45
Chance to finish in the top 12 / top 24 of final resume quality (50,000 simulated seasons). Line = where the 12th / 24th team usually finishes. Not playoff odds: conference title games and automatic bids aren't included.
- Now −2.14
- Projected −2.89
- Win out −2.03
- Top 12 line +0.67
- Top 24 line −0.45
- conference game
- win / lossupcoming
Primary Ratings
TSR
-4.2#82
KFord
—
SP+
1.7#66
FPI
-3.4#82
FEI
-0.31#85
MASSEY
7.19#92
DOKTER
41.10#87
SAGARIN
63.30#88
RQI
-2.144#65
SOS
11.39#99
Offense
Rating
23.20#84
Success
0.03#45
PPA
0.02#70
Rush
0.14#20
Pass
-0.26#133
PPO
-0.28#116
Drive Q
6.50#65
Defense
Rating
27.40#83
Success
-0.00#81
PPA
-0.04#59
Rush
-0.05#59
Pass
-0.07#61
PPO
-0.02#90
Drive Q
-0.80#89